Concord Biotech Limited GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
69.08%
increased by 19.95%
1 Week
65.46%
increased by 16.33%
1 Month
56.70%
increased by 7.57%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 18, 2023 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8034 | 1.48 |
| αARCH | 0.0596 | 1.19 |
| βGARCH | 0.7907 | 9.01*** |
| γleverage | 0.1021 | 0.46 |
0.901
Persistence7d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8034 | 1.48 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0596 | 1.19 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7907 | 9.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1021 | 0.46 |
Persistence:
0.901
Half-life:
7 days
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