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V-Lab

Concord Biotech Limited GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

41.19%

decreased by 2.57%

1 Week

42.30%

decreased by 1.46%

1 Month

44.67%

increased by 0.91%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Concord Biotech Limited GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 18, 2023 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 189% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8517
5.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0672
4.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7728
33.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1271
1.99**

Persistence:

0.904

Half-life:

7 days