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V-Lab

Concord Biotech Limited GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

36.95%

increased by 2.07%

1 Week

38.99%

increased by 4.11%

1 Month

43.13%

increased by 8.25%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Concord Biotech Limited GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 18, 2023 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 202% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8733
5.68***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0685
4.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7636
32.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1384
2.08**

Persistence:

0.901

Half-life:

7 days