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V-Lab

Concord Biotech Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

38.53%

increased by 0.84%

1 Week

40.11%

increased by 2.42%

1 Month

44.02%

increased by 6.33%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Concord Biotech Limited MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 18, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 102% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0699
3.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8345
12.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0716
2.73***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.8030
0.23
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0535
0.18
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6622
0.45

Persistence:

0.940

Half-life:

11 days