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V-Lab
V-Lab

Concord Biotech Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

44.03%

decreased by 1.88%

1 Week

44.74%

decreased by 1.17%

1 Month

46.72%

increased by 0.81%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 07:07 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Concord Biotech Limited MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 18, 2023 to Oct 1, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0645
1.58
βGARCH0.8460
11.48***
γleverage0.0522
0.53
λ₁tau intercept3.0899
0.35
λ₂forecast adj.0.0763
0.46
λ₃tau persistence0.5879
0.61

0.937

Persistence

11d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0645
1.58
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8460
11.48***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0522
0.53
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.0899
0.35
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0763
0.46
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5879
0.61

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days