V-Lab
Concord Biotech Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026
1 Day
38.54%
increased by 1.94%
1 Week
39.84%
increased by 3.24%
1 Month
43.81%
increased by 7.21%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 07:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 18, 2023 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 21 | |
| αARCH | 0.0655 | 1.56 |
| βGARCH | 0.8413 | 11.66*** |
| γleverage | 0.0631 | 0.61 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 3.0582 | 0.34 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0732 | 0.47 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.6007 | 0.64 |
0.938
Persistence11d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0655 | 1.56 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8413 | 11.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0631 | 0.61 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.0582 | 0.34 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0732 | 0.47 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6007 | 0.64 |
Persistence:
0.938
Half-life:
11 days
Other Concord Biotech Limited Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities