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V-Lab

Concord Biotech Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

64.67%

increased by 14.47%

1 Week

63.55%

increased by 13.35%

1 Month

60.32%

increased by 10.12%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Concord Biotech Limited MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 18, 2023 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0654
1.60
βGARCH0.8465
10.81***
γleverage0.0444
0.46
λ₁tau intercept2.9294
0.33
λ₂forecast adj.0.0724
0.45
λ₃tau persistence0.5952
0.59

0.934

Persistence

10d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0654
1.60
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8465
10.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0444
0.46
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.9294
0.33
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0724
0.45
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5952
0.59

Persistence:

0.934

Half-life:

10 days