Skip to main content
V-Lab

Concord Biotech Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

45.24%

decreased by 2.28%

1 Week

46.31%

decreased by 1.21%

1 Month

49.35%

increased by 1.83%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Concord Biotech Limited MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 18, 2023 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 75% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0813
3.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8355
12.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0608
2.47**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.7607
0.26
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0473
0.18
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6923
0.57

Persistence:

0.947

Half-life:

13 days