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V-Lab

Concord Biotech Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

37.00%

increased by 2.74%

1 Week

38.58%

increased by 4.32%

1 Month

43.80%

increased by 9.54%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Concord Biotech Limited MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 18, 2023 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 75% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0855
3.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8354
13.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0643
2.60***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.4057
0.35
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0360
0.20
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7442
0.96

Persistence:

0.953

Half-life:

14 days