Skip to main content
V-Lab

Concord Biotech Limited GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

39.53%

decreased by 2.06%

1 Week

39.87%

decreased by 1.72%

1 Month

40.59%

decreased by 1.00%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Concord Biotech Limited GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 18, 2023 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.09 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.7990
2.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0581
2.53**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9035
32.69***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.0911
0.98

Persistence:

0.904

Half-life:

7 days