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V-Lab

Kuaishou Technology GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

437,814.67%

decreased by 301,668.74%

1 Week

437,377.06%

decreased by 302,106.35%

1 Month

435,634.02%

decreased by 303,849.39%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Kuaishou Technology GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 16, 2021 to Aug 4, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.4565
2.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2767
66.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
5,123.08***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0000

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days