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V-Lab

Kuaishou Technology GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

56.25%

decreased by 4.70%

1 Week

59.68%

decreased by 1.27%

1 Month

70.98%

increased by 10.03%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 12:25 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Kuaishou Technology GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 16, 2021 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 60 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 60 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.26 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 60-day half-lifev = 3.26 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run116.9821
1.95*
αscore0.1190
8.04***
βpersistence0.9885
204.15***
νDF3.2594
5.58***

0.988

Persistence

60d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

116.9821
1.95*
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1190
8.04***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9885
204.15***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.2594
5.58***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

60 days