V-Lab
Kuaishou Technology GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
92.68%
decreased by 1.31%
1 Week
91.58%
decreased by 2.41%
1 Month
88.39%
decreased by 5.60%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 16, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4658 | 2.06** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0276 | 2.10** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9306 | 29.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0276 | -1.80* |
Persistence:
0.944
Half-life:
12 days
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