V-Lab
Kuaishou Technology GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
73.87%
increased by 0.21%
1 Week
74.62%
increased by 0.96%
1 Month
76.55%
increased by 2.89%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 08:44 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 16, 2021 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.7144 | 0.63 |
| αARCH | 0.0304 | 0.54 |
| βGARCH | 0.9166 | 7.29*** |
| γleverage | -0.0304 | -0.46 |
0.932
Persistence10d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7144 | 0.63 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0304 | 0.54 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9166 | 7.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0304 | -0.46 |
Persistence:
0.932
Half-life:
10 days
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