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V-Lab

VT Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

76.32%

increased by 7.99%

1 Week

76.41%

increased by 8.08%

1 Month

76.76%

increased by 8.43%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 07:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of VT Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 19, 2001 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 204 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1057
12.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0687
18.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9320
284.24***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0082
-1.17

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

204 days