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V-Lab

VT Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

58.15%

decreased by 1.73%

1 Week

62.59%

increased by 2.71%

1 Month

69.20%

increased by 9.32%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of VT Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 19, 2001 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1674
25.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5957
27.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0166
-1.56
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2683
1.08
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1705
1.40
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8193
6.04***

Persistence:

0.755

Half-life:

2 days