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V-Lab

VT Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

106.09%

increased by 15.78%

1 Week

106.25%

increased by 15.94%

1 Month

106.87%

increased by 16.56%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of VT Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 19, 2001 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 87 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.14 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

53.4127
3.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1277
86.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9921
492.11***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.1408
59.84***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

87 days