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V-Lab

VT Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

69.13%

decreased by 2.05%

1 Week

68.92%

decreased by 2.26%

1 Month

68.14%

decreased by 3.04%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of VT Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 19, 2001 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 97 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0885
4.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0640
4.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9289
55.42***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0076
-1.74*
γ20.0111
2.05**

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

97 days