Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

VT Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

52.22%

decreased by 1.13%

1 Week

52.22%

decreased by 1.13%

1 Month

52.23%

decreased by 1.12%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 11:36 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of VT Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 19, 2001 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 96 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~96 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0886
4.50***
αARCH0.0636
4.53***
βGARCH0.9292
56.33***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0074
-1.72*
γ20.0108
2.04**

0.993

Persistence

96d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0886
4.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0636
4.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9292
56.33***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0074
-1.72*
γ20.0108
2.04**

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

96 days