V-Lab
VT Co Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
79.08%
decreased by 1.38%
1 Week
79.60%
decreased by 0.86%
1 Month
81.58%
increased by 1.12%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 12:26 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 19, 2001 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 61% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0413 | 9.56*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1166 | 13.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9892 | 767.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0272 | 5.73*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
64 days
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