V-Lab
Sui Southern Gas Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
44.04%
increased by 1.28%
1 Week
44.44%
increased by 1.68%
1 Month
45.31%
increased by 2.55%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 3, 1993 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4692 | 7.51*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1468 | 10.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7574 | 35.36*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | 0.0025 | 0.54 |
| γ2 | 0.0026 | 0.41 |
| γ3 | -0.0076 | -2.68*** |
Persistence:
0.904
Half-life:
7 days
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