Sui Southern Gas Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
42.18%
decreased by 3.00%
1 Week
42.52%
decreased by 2.66%
1 Month
43.48%
decreased by 1.70%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 3, 1993 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 45% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4434 | 27.09*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1088 | 19.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8127 | 176.64*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0487 | 4.47*** |
Persistence:
0.946
Half-life:
12 days
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