V-Lab
Sui Southern Gas Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
44.81%
decreased by 0.07%
1 Week
44.88%
increased by 0.00%
1 Month
45.06%
increased by 0.18%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 3, 1993 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 45% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4402 | 27.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1083 | 19.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8138 | 177.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0485 | 4.48*** |
Persistence:
0.946
Half-life:
13 days
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