V-Lab
Sui Southern Gas Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
55.48%
increased by 17.69%
1 Week
54.53%
increased by 16.74%
1 Month
51.74%
increased by 13.95%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 3, 1993 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.4418 | 6.77*** |
| αARCH | 0.1082 | 4.94*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8133 | 44.43*** |
| γleverage | 0.0487 | 1.12 |
0.946
Persistence12d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4418 | 6.77*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1082 | 4.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8133 | 44.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0487 | 1.12 |
Persistence:
0.946
Half-life:
12 days
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