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V-Lab

Sui Southern Gas Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

43.21%

increased by 5.39%

1 Week

43.83%

increased by 6.01%

1 Month

45.51%

increased by 7.69%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Sui Southern Gas Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 1993 to Aug 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.53 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

9.4218
9.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1599
28.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9442
148.97***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.5301
12.96***

Persistence:

0.944

Half-life:

12 days