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Sui Southern Gas Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

59.20%

increased by 14.68%

1 Week

58.18%

increased by 13.66%

1 Month

55.20%

increased by 10.68%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sui Southern Gas Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 1993 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.53 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-lifev = 4.53 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst9.3971
2.35**
αARCH0.1598
7.09***
βGARCH0.9441
37.33***
νDF4.5340
3.24***

0.944

Persistence

12d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

9.3971
2.35**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1598
7.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9441
37.33***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.5340
3.24***

Persistence:

0.944

Half-life:

12 days