V-Lab
Sui Southern Gas Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
48.95%
increased by 4.72%
1 Week
48.93%
increased by 4.70%
1 Month
48.88%
increased by 4.65%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 3, 1993 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.52 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 9.4374 | 9.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1603 | 28.36*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9441 | 148.47*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.5234 | 13.01*** |
Persistence:
0.944
Half-life:
12 days
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