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Sui Southern Gas Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

40.80%

decreased by 6.32%

1 Week

41.72%

decreased by 5.40%

1 Month

44.17%

decreased by 2.95%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sui Southern Gas Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 1993 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.53 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

9.4158
9.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1610
28.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9437
147.80***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.5302
12.98***

Persistence:

0.944

Half-life:

12 days