Skip to main content
V-Lab

Saudi Industrial Export Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

245.13%

decreased by 36.26%

1 Week

249.19%

decreased by 32.20%

1 Month

264.59%

decreased by 16.80%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Saudi Industrial Export Co GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 14, 2005 to Jul 23, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1,929.3870
7.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1016
140.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9976
3,452.03***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0099

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

293 days