CBOE Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	2,103.2153	1.90*
αARCH	0.1018	35.19***
βGARCH	0.9977	869.03***
νDF	2.0091	4,924.36***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	2,103.2153	1.90*
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1018	35.19***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9977	869.03***
ν DF Student-t tail thickness	2.0091	4,924.36***

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Saudi Industrial Export Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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