V-Lab
Saudi Industrial Export Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026
1 Day
245.13%
decreased by 36.26%
1 Week
249.19%
decreased by 32.20%
1 Month
264.59%
decreased by 16.80%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 14, 2005 to Jul 23, 2026Extended Optimization
Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1,929.3870 | 7.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1016 | 140.33*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9976 | 3,452.03*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0099 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
293 days
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