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V-Lab

Saudi Industrial Export Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026

1 Day

34.56%

decreased by 0.80%

1 Week

35.23%

decreased by 0.13%

1 Month

37.53%

increased by 2.17%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Saudi Industrial Export Co GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 14, 2005 to Aug 20, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 39% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1798
11.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0743
10.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8935
142.78***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0288
2.94***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days