V-Lab
Saudi Industrial Export Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026
1 Day
34.56%
decreased by 0.80%
1 Week
35.23%
decreased by 0.13%
1 Month
37.53%
increased by 2.17%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 14, 2005 to Aug 20, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 39% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1798 | 11.15*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0743 | 10.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8935 | 142.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0288 | 2.94*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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