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V-Lab

Saudi Industrial Export Co GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

40.95%

decreased by 1.86%

1 Week

41.34%

decreased by 1.47%

1 Month

42.72%

decreased by 0.09%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Saudi Industrial Export Co GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 14, 2005 to Jul 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 37 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 37 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1886
11.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0925
18.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8891
140.23***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

37 days