V-Lab
Saudi Industrial Export Co EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026
1 Day
40.15%
decreased by 2.89%
1 Week
41.78%
decreased by 1.26%
1 Month
46.80%
increased by 3.76%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 14, 2005 to Jul 23, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 26% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1472 | 14.87*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2156 | 22.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9429 | 202.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0247 | -3.84*** |
Persistence:
0.943
Half-life:
12 days
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