V-Lab
Kinik Co EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
63.45%
decreased by 1.33%
1 Week
62.63%
decreased by 2.15%
1 Month
59.97%
decreased by 4.81%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 12:52 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 25, 2004 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0585 | 22.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1563 | 30.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9740 | 755.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0021 | 0.50 |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
26 days
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