V-Lab
Kinik Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
59.64%
decreased by 1.11%
1 Week
59.37%
decreased by 1.38%
1 Month
58.35%
decreased by 2.40%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:38 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 25, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 71 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0722 | 15.21*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0651 | 18.32*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9250 | 388.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0004 | 0.05 |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
71 days
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