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V-Lab

Kinik Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

59.64%

decreased by 1.11%

1 Week

59.37%

decreased by 1.38%

1 Month

58.35%

decreased by 2.40%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:38 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kinik Co GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 25, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 71 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0722
15.21***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0651
18.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9250
388.99***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0004
0.05

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

71 days