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V-Lab
V-Lab

Kinik Co Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

48.75%

decreased by 3.15%

1 Week

47.92%

decreased by 3.98%

1 Month

45.12%

decreased by 6.78%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kinik Co APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 25, 2004 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days. The volatility power δ = 1.58 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 22-day half-lifeδ = 1.58 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0980
4.14***
αARCH0.1627
12.95***
βGARCH0.8267
61.93***
γleverage-0.0341
-1.04
δpower1.5804
6.60***

0.969

Persistence

22d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0980
4.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1627
12.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8267
61.93***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0341
-1.04
δ

power

Transformation power

1.5804
6.60***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days