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V-Lab

Kinik Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

51.94%

increased by 0.20%

1 Week

54.04%

increased by 2.30%

1 Month

57.14%

increased by 5.40%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:40 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kinik Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 25, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 31% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

111
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1134
25.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7082
78.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0351
5.26***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.6453
4.99***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9085
12.63***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.839

Half-life:

4 days