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V-Lab
V-Lab

Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

51.30%

increased by 0.04%

1 Week

50.94%

decreased by 0.32%

1 Month

49.61%

decreased by 1.65%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 07:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 31, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 57 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 57 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 57-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.2909
βGARCH0.7107
γleverage-0.0272
λ₁tau intercept0.0015
λ₂forecast adj.0.0082
λ₃tau persistence0.2606

0.988

Persistence

57d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2909
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7107
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0272
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0015
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0082
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2606

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

57 days