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V-Lab

Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

34.27%

increased by 0.50%

1 Week

34.25%

increased by 0.48%

1 Month

34.24%

increased by 0.47%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 31, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0557
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0034
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0555
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.5276
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0001
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8863

Persistence:

0.031

Half-life:

0 days