India NSE Volatility Index

CBOE Emerging Market Markets Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	21
αARCH	0.0000	0.00
βGARCH	0.0000	0.00
γleverage	0.5000	198.73***
λ₁tau intercept	3.2975	2.48**
λ₂forecast adj.	0.3698	4.34***
λ₃tau persistence	0.6302	5.24***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	21
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0000	0.00
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.0000	0.00
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.5000	198.73***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	3.2975	2.48**
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.3698	4.34***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.6302	5.24***

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Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd Analyses