V-Lab
Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
34.27%
increased by 0.50%
1 Week
34.25%
increased by 0.48%
1 Month
34.24%
increased by 0.47%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 31, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0557 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0034 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0555 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.5276 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0001 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8863 |
Persistence:
0.031
Half-life:
0 days
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