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V-Lab

Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

93.63%

increased by 3.19%

1 Week

100.87%

increased by 10.43%

1 Month

102.78%

increased by 12.34%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 31, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
11.57***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

9.9888
0.07
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7644
0.17

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days