V-Lab
Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
52.69%
decreased by 7.75%
1 Week
54.17%
decreased by 6.27%
1 Month
54.35%
decreased by 6.09%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 31, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026σ
EGARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 4.1302 | 8.08*** |
| αARCH | 0.1798 | 1.29 |
| βGARCH | -0.6769 | -4.28*** |
| γleverage | 0.2508 | 1.36 |
-0.677
Persistence-
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.1302 | 8.08*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1798 | 1.29 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | -0.6769 | -4.28*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2508 | 1.36 |
Persistence:
-0.677
Half-life:
-
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