Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
53.05%
increased by 5.08%
1 Week
51.87%
increased by 3.90%
1 Month
50.92%
increased by 2.95%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 31, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7517 | 3.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3467 | 7.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6755 | 6.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0600 | 1.17 |
Persistence:
0.676
Half-life:
2 days
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