Abionyx Pharma SA EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
93.14%
decreased by 2.24%
1 Week
97.57%
increased by 2.19%
1 Month
110.82%
increased by 15.44%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 15, 2016 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2762 | 2.50** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1450 | 4.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9357 | 34.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0026 | 0.07 |
Persistence:
0.936
Half-life:
10 days
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