V-Lab
Abionyx Pharma SA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
52.28%
decreased by 0.60%
1 Week
65.35%
increased by 12.47%
1 Month
85.58%
increased by 32.70%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 15, 2016 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 81 | |
| αARCH | 0.5656 | 3.89*** |
| βGARCH | 0.3318 | 8.77*** |
| γleverage | -0.1281 | -0.48 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.6226 | 0.59 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0068 | 0.93 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9739 | 26.87*** |
0.833
Persistence4d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5656 | 3.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3318 | 8.77*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1281 | -0.48 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.6226 | 0.59 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0068 | 0.93 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9739 | 26.87*** |
Persistence:
0.833
Half-life:
4 days
Other Abionyx Pharma SA Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities