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V-Lab

Abionyx Pharma SA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

64.30%

decreased by 23.70%

1 Week

74.10%

decreased by 13.90%

1 Month

88.51%

increased by 0.51%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Abionyx Pharma SA MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 15, 2016 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5404
17.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3178
23.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1094
-1.65*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.8267
0.81
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0073
1.26
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9672
26.04***

Persistence:

0.804

Half-life:

3 days