V-Lab
Abionyx Pharma SA GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
76.11%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Week
78.12%
increased by 1.67%
1 Month
83.98%
increased by 7.53%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 15, 2016 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5903 | 3.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0387 | 3.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9224 | 52.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0049 | -0.18 |
Persistence:
0.959
Half-life:
16 days
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