V-Lab
Abionyx Pharma SA MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
104.60%
decreased by 2.12%
1 Week
106.88%
increased by 0.16%
1 Month
114.74%
increased by 8.02%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 15, 2016 to Sep 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 45 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 45 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 45-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.6418 | 0.26 |
| αARCH | 0.0650 | 0.98 |
| βGARCH | 0.9195 | 46.98*** |
0.985
Persistence45d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.6418 | 0.26 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0650 | 0.98 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9195 | 46.98*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
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