Abionyx Pharma SA Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
105.05%
decreased by 0.94%
1 Week
109.27%
increased by 3.28%
1 Month
123.06%
increased by 17.07%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 15, 2016 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 37 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 37 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.6386 | 4.51*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0652 | 4.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9131 | 164.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0064 | 0.22 |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
37 days
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