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V-Lab

Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

83.82%

decreased by 3.49%

1 Week

81.77%

decreased by 5.54%

1 Month

75.96%

decreased by 11.35%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 28, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 42% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0435
13.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2426
18.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7302
82.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0722
-3.07***

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days