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V-Lab

Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

65.30%

increased by 7.07%

1 Week

65.24%

increased by 7.01%

1 Month

65.07%

increased by 6.84%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 07:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 28, 2020 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 38% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0702
13.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2453
18.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7243
82.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0677
-2.86***

Persistence:

0.936

Half-life:

10 days