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V-Lab

Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

66.15%

increased by 0.53%

1 Week

66.34%

increased by 0.72%

1 Month

66.96%

increased by 1.34%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 1, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 129% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6373
8.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1052
10.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8908
121.33***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0593
-3.78***

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days