Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
71.54%
increased by 0.37%
1 Week
71.63%
increased by 0.46%
1 Month
71.92%
increased by 0.75%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 1, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6359 | 8.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0884 | 14.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8816 | 109.94*** |
Persistence:
0.970
Half-life:
23 days
Other Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd Analyses
Other GARCH Analyses on International Equities