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V-Lab

Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

67.20%

decreased by 4.04%

1 Week

67.82%

decreased by 3.42%

1 Month

69.53%

decreased by 1.71%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 1, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1330
16.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1215
21.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8248
145.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1603
1.04

Persistence:

0.946

Half-life:

13 days