Skip to main content
V-Lab

Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

84.40%

decreased by 3.51%

1 Week

81.14%

decreased by 6.77%

1 Month

72.71%

decreased by 15.20%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Capitalonline Data Service Co Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 28, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 39% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.71 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7393
4.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2110
19.65***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7294
78.93***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0963
-6.05***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.7075
10.47***

Persistence:

0.922

Half-life:

9 days