V-Lab
Stroeer Se & Co Kgaa Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
31.10%
decreased by 0.09%
1 Week
31.97%
increased by 0.78%
1 Month
33.49%
increased by 2.30%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 06:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 21, 2017 to Aug 7, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. The volatility power δ = 2.59 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0000 | 2.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0446 | 4.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8104 | 39.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0132 | 0.48 |
δ power Transformation power | 2.5946 | 10.19*** |
Persistence:
0.868
Half-life:
5 days
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