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V-Lab

SMG Swiss Marketplace Group AG Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

51.84%

decreased by 0.28%

1 Week

51.99%

decreased by 0.13%

1 Month

52.32%

increased by 0.20%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 06:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of SMG Swiss Marketplace Group AG APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 23, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1935
3.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0056
0.52
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8905
30.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

1.0000
58.00***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.5000
1.60

Persistence:

0.894

Half-life:

6 days