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V-Lab

SMG Swiss Marketplace Group AG Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

43.10%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

43.10%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

43.10%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of SMG Swiss Marketplace Group AG S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 23, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3984
2.68***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8549
0.05
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ11.4347
1.26

Persistence:

0.855

Half-life:

4 days