V-Lab
SMG Swiss Marketplace Group AG EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
23.57%
decreased by 0.80%
1 Week
23.81%
decreased by 0.56%
1 Month
24.75%
increased by 0.38%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 05:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
The leverage effect is captured by the negative gamma (gamma = -0.0725), confirming that negative shocks increase volatility more than positive shocks of equal magnitude.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0208 | 1.55 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | -0.1587 | -1.08 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9868 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0725 | -3.14*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
52 days
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