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V-Lab

SMG Swiss Marketplace Group AG EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

23.57%

decreased by 0.80%

1 Week

23.81%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Month

24.75%

increased by 0.38%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 05:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of SMG Swiss Marketplace Group AG EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 23, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

The leverage effect is captured by the negative gamma (gamma = -0.0725), confirming that negative shocks increase volatility more than positive shocks of equal magnitude.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0208
1.55
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

-0.1587
-1.08
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9868
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0725
-3.14***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

52 days