V-Lab
SMG Swiss Marketplace Group AG GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
54.49%
increased by 4.04%
1 Week
53.27%
increased by 2.82%
1 Month
52.93%
increased by 2.48%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 06:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 11.0739 | 10.08*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0901 | 0.79 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2453 | 1.19 |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 9.5163 | 0.13 |
Persistence:
0.245
Half-life:
0 days
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