V-Lab
Camtek Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
233.28%
decreased by 10.44%
1 Week
232.03%
decreased by 11.69%
1 Month
227.27%
decreased by 16.45%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 07:24 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 18, 2006 to Oct 1, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.07 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Unreliable tails: v = 2.07 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 77.5768 | 0.68 |
| αARCH | 0.0320 | 12.64*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9916 | 82.46*** |
| νDF | 2.0690 | 63.07*** |
0.992
Persistence83d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 77.5768 | 0.68 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0320 | 12.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9916 | 82.46*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0690 | 63.07*** |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
83 days
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