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V-Lab

Camtek Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

77.58%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Week

76.67%

decreased by 0.92%

1 Month

73.50%

decreased by 4.09%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 10:46 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Camtek Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 18, 2006 to Oct 26, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.96 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 29-day half-lifev = 3.96 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run11.9619
1.43
αscore0.0820
6.53***
βpersistence0.9763
56.81***
νDF3.9630
2.46**

0.976

Persistence

29d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

11.9619
1.43
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0820
6.53***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9763
56.81***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.9630
2.46**

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

29 days