V-Lab
Camtek Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
62.18%
increased by 2.44%
1 Week
61.18%
increased by 1.44%
1 Month
57.95%
decreased by 1.79%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 18, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 66% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3304 | 16.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0674 | 12.49*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9080 | 203.77*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0268 | -3.87*** |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
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