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Vinalink Intl Freight Forwar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

17.20%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Week

17.78%

increased by 0.37%

1 Month

19.85%

increased by 2.44%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Vinalink Intl Freight Forwar GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 22, 2010 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 116 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

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High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~116 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0474
2.97***
αARCH0.0681
3.09***
βGARCH0.9369
109.33***
γleverage-0.0219
-0.63

0.994

Persistence

116d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0474
2.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0681
3.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9369
109.33***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0219
-0.63

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

116 days