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Vinalink Intl Freight Forwar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

172.29%

decreased by 20.87%

1 Week

184.82%

decreased by 8.34%

1 Month

227.53%

increased by 34.37%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Vinalink Intl Freight Forwar GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 22, 2010 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3,786.0952
8.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1057
133.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9976
3,525.00***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0033

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

285 days