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Vinalink Intl Freight Forwar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

170.49%

decreased by 19.30%

1 Week

185.34%

decreased by 4.45%

1 Month

234.88%

increased by 45.09%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vinalink Intl Freight Forwar GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 22, 2010 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.00 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4,695.0006
2.15**
αARCH0.1065
33.38***
βGARCH0.9977
958.41***
νDF2.0028

0.998

Persistence

302d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4,695.0006
2.15**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1065
33.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9977
958.41***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0028

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

302 days