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Vinalink Intl Freight Forwar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

318.62%

increased by 57.09%

1 Week

330.14%

increased by 68.61%

1 Month

372.09%

increased by 110.56%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 08:58 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vinalink Intl Freight Forwar GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 22, 2010 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.00 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst7,123.2293
2.20**
αARCH0.1067
33.28***
βGARCH0.9978
1,018.15***
νDF2.0019

0.998

Persistence

313d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

7,123.2293
2.20**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1067
33.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9978
1,018.15***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0019

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

313 days