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Vinalink Intl Freight Forwar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

273.79%

decreased by 22.27%

1 Week

287.65%

decreased by 8.41%

1 Month

336.78%

increased by 40.72%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Vinalink Intl Freight Forwar GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 22, 2010 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

7,290.3480
8.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1063
132.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9978
4,089.29***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0019

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

313 days