Skip to main content
V-Lab

Cargills Ceylon PLC GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

218.20%

increased by 8.03%

1 Week

224.16%

increased by 13.99%

1 Month

246.27%

increased by 36.10%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cargills Ceylon PLC GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 31, 1994 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2,861.8260
7.59***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0980
117.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9980
4,024.35***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0050

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

353 days