CBOE Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	3,355.5264	1.96**
αARCH	0.0968	29.22***
βGARCH	0.9982	1,124.08***
νDF	2.0045	9,153.18***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	3,355.5264	1.96**
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0968	29.22***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9982	1,124.08***
ν DF Student-t tail thickness	2.0045	9,153.18***

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Cargills Ceylon PLC GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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