CBOE Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	0.0418	2.71***
αARCH	0.0411	2.15**
βGARCH	0.9518	86.69***
γleverage	-0.0040	-0.15

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	0.0418	2.71***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0411	2.15**
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9518	86.69***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0040	-0.15

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Cargills Ceylon PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Cargills Ceylon PLC Analyses