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V-Lab

Cargills Ceylon PLC Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

23.38%

decreased by 0.48%

1 Week

23.85%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Month

25.53%

increased by 1.67%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cargills Ceylon PLC AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 26, 2003 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 39% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0688
10.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0533
12.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9252
302.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0206
2.47**

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

62 days