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V-Lab
V-Lab

Trusval Technology Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

40.21%

decreased by 5.68%

1 Week

41.61%

decreased by 4.28%

1 Month

44.52%

decreased by 1.37%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Trusval Technology AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 23, 2017 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8896
2.93***
αARCH0.3565
5.89***
βGARCH0.6073
12.65***
γleverage-0.1267
-1.44

0.900

Persistence

7d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8896
2.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3565
5.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6073
12.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1267
-1.44

Persistence:

0.900

Half-life:

7 days