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V-Lab
V-Lab

Trusval Technology MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

53.94%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Week

53.00%

decreased by 0.97%

1 Month

50.93%

decreased by 3.04%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Trusval Technology MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 23, 2017 to Oct 8, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9704
1.45
αARCH0.3141
2.79***
βGARCH0.5828
12.23***

0.897

Persistence

6d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9704
1.45
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3141
2.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5828
12.23***

Persistence:

0.897

Half-life:

6 days