V-Lab
Continental AG MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
40.94%
decreased by 2.03%
1 Week
40.60%
decreased by 2.37%
1 Month
39.47%
decreased by 3.50%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1432 | 11.54*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1460 | 35.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8240 | 277.34*** |
Persistence:
0.970
Half-life:
23 days
Other MEM Analyses on International Equities