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V-Lab

Continental AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

29.94%

increased by 0.27%

1 Week

30.24%

increased by 0.57%

1 Month

31.27%

increased by 1.60%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 08:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Continental AG GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 332% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1101
21.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0259
12.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9105
435.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0859
14.36***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days