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Continental AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026

1 Day

30.07%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Week

30.35%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Month

31.34%

increased by 0.85%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 07:35 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/13/2024

to

10/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Continental AG GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 330% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 330% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1093
5.29***
αARCH0.0258
3.14***
βGARCH0.9110
109.37***
γleverage0.0851
3.58***

0.979

Persistence

33d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1093
5.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0258
3.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9110
109.37***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0851
3.58***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days