Continental AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026
1 Day
30.07%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Week
30.35%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Month
31.34%
increased by 0.85%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 07:35 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 330% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 330% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1093 | 5.29*** |
| αARCH | 0.0258 | 3.14*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9110 | 109.37*** |
| γleverage | 0.0851 | 3.58*** |
0.979
Persistence33d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1093 | 5.29*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0258 | 3.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9110 | 109.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0851 | 3.58*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
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