V-Lab
Continental AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
28.33%
decreased by 0.63%
1 Week
28.71%
decreased by 0.25%
1 Month
30.00%
increased by 1.04%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 331% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1100 | 21.19*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0259 | 12.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9105 | 435.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0858 | 14.35*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
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