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V-Lab

Continental AG GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

30.30%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Week

30.46%

decreased by 0.28%

1 Month

31.04%

increased by 0.30%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Continental AG GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.01 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.9165
6.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0668
30.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9844
392.80***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.0115
9.41***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

44 days