Skip to main content
V-Lab

Continental AG GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

32.00%

decreased by 1.37%

1 Week

32.10%

decreased by 1.27%

1 Month

32.47%

decreased by 0.90%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Continental AG GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.02 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.9139
6.51***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0668
30.65***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9844
393.90***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.0169
9.41***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

44 days