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V-Lab

Continental AG GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

28.88%

decreased by 0.13%

1 Week

29.09%

increased by 0.08%

1 Month

29.85%

increased by 0.84%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Continental AG GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.02 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.9042
6.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0666
30.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9844
394.86***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.0204
9.40***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

44 days