V-Lab
Continental AG GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
28.88%
decreased by 0.13%
1 Week
29.09%
increased by 0.08%
1 Month
29.85%
increased by 0.84%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.02 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.9042 | 6.52*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0666 | 30.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9844 | 394.86*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 5.0204 | 9.40*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
44 days
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